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Summary of our Latest Views
Our up-to-date subjective probabilities and market views.
Feb 22, 2023
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A Personal Update
Dear readers; Over the past ten months, creating material for Ashridge Macro has been a rewarding experience, and it’s been gratifying to see the…
Jun 10, 2023
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May Payrolls Review
On balance, another strong jobs report
Jun 2, 2023
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May Payrolls Review
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UK CPI Review: Strength Abounds
We discuss the April CPI Release and what it means for the BoE
May 25, 2023
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UK CPI Review: Strength Abounds
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Breaking Down Breakevens
We experiment with a fair value approach
May 23, 2023
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Breaking Down Breakevens
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US Inflation Expectations Chart Deck - May Update
We update our tracker document for May
May 14, 2023
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US Inflation Expectations Chart Deck - May Update
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A Theory of Lags
We review CPI, and outline one theory as to why transmission lags may have lengthened
May 13, 2023
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A Theory of Lags
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Payrolls Post-Mortem
We review April's payrolls numbers and what they mean for the Fed/Markets
May 9, 2023
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Payrolls Post-Mortem
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